Napoli vs Lazio prediction
Napoli
LazioThe model favours Napoli win at 41%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
How the pick did
Locked before kickoff and counted in the verified record.
Win probabilities
Includes the betting market's view from 10 bookmakers (41% / 27% / 32%). How this works
Match analysis
The forecast for a Napoli win is supported by their slightly higher expected goals, but complicated by Lazio's dominant league form and superior head-to-head record. Lazio is currently top of the league with an unbeaten record, contrasting with Napoli's mid-table position. Napoli's recent head-to-head against Lazio also shows more losses than wins.
Napoli has shown inconsistent form this season, with an even record of four wins, two draws, and four losses in ten matches. They average 1.7 goals scored per game.
Lazio is in exceptional form, leading the league with nine wins and one draw from ten games. They boast a strong attack, averaging 2.4 goals per match, and a solid defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per game.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-04-18Napoli0–2Lazio
- 2026-01-04Lazio0–2Napoli
- 2025-02-15Lazio2–2Napoli
- 2024-12-08Napoli0–1Lazio
- 2024-12-05Lazio3–1Napoli
Form & table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | +16 | 29 | |
| 2 | 11 | +15 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | +21 | 27 | |
| 4 | 11 | +10 | 24 | |
| 5 | 11 | +8 | 23 | |
| 6 | 11 | +9 | 20 | |
| 7 | 11 | +3 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | +2 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | -5 | 16 | |
| 10 | 11 | +4 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | -2 | 14 | |
| 12 | 11 | -3 | 14 | |
| 13 | 11 | -5 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | -10 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | -8 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | -8 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | -13 | 8 | |
| 18 | 11 | -8 | 7 | |
| 19 | 11 | -13 | 6 | |
| 20 | 11 | -13 | 5 |