Napoli vs Lazio prediction

Napoli
1–1
Full time Maradona Stadium, Naples
Lazio
41%
Model pick Incorrect
Napoli win

The model favours Napoli win at 41%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

How the pick did

PredictedNapoli win
ActualDraw
Graded Incorrect

Locked before kickoff and counted in the verified record.

Win probabilities

Napoli41%
Draw28%
Lazio32%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.3 – 1.18
Both score51%
Over 2.5 goals45%

Includes the betting market's view from 10 bookmakers (41% / 27% / 32%). How this works

Match analysis

The forecast for a Napoli win is supported by their slightly higher expected goals, but complicated by Lazio's dominant league form and superior head-to-head record. Lazio is currently top of the league with an unbeaten record, contrasting with Napoli's mid-table position. Napoli's recent head-to-head against Lazio also shows more losses than wins.

Napoli

Napoli has shown inconsistent form this season, with an even record of four wins, two draws, and four losses in ten matches. They average 1.7 goals scored per game.

Lazio

Lazio is in exceptional form, leading the league with nine wins and one draw from ten games. They boast a strong attack, averaging 2.4 goals per match, and a solid defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per game.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-04-18Napoli0–2Lazio
  • 2026-01-04Lazio0–2Napoli
  • 2025-02-15Lazio2–2Napoli
  • 2024-12-08Napoli0–1Lazio
  • 2024-12-05Lazio3–1Napoli

Form & table

Lazio1st, 29 ptsDWWWW
Napoli10th, 15 ptsDLWDL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 11920 259 +1629 DWWWW
2 Inter 11911 2813 +1528 WLWWW
3 AS Roma 11830 3110 +2127 WWWDW
4 AC Milan 11731 2313 +1024 WWLWW
5 Como 11722 1810 +823 LWWWW
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 11533 1512 +318 DWLWL
8 Bologna 11524 1614 +217 WWWWL
9 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
10 Napoli 11434 1814 +415 DLWDL
11 Torino 11425 1517 -214 DLLWW
12 Atalanta 11425 1720 -314 WLDDL
13 Genoa 11416 1116 -513 LWWWL
14 Lecce 11317 1222 -1010 DLLLW
15 Fiorentina 11236 1725 -89 DWDLL
16 Parma 11227 917 -88 LWDLL
17 Sassuolo 11227 1629 -138 LLLLL
18 Monza 11218 1725 -87 LLLLW
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation