Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid prediction

Real Sociedad
vs
Anoeta, San Sebastian
Real Madrid
56%
Model pickWatch Only
Real Madrid win

The model favours Real Madrid win at 56%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Real Sociedad22%
Draw22%
Real Madrid56%
Likely score1-2
Expected goals1.24 – 2.15
Both score63%
Over 2.5 goals66%

Match analysis

Real Madrid's superior league position, strong season statistics, and dominant head-to-head record against Real Sociedad strongly support the forecast for an away win. Their significantly higher expected goals further reinforces this prediction. Real Sociedad's inconsistent form and higher goals conceded average complicate their chances against a top-ranked opponent.

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad's recent form is inconsistent, showing a mix of wins and losses. They have scored 21 goals while conceding 20 across 12 matches.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid exhibits strong form with 10 wins from 12 matches and a high goal-scoring rate. They have scored 31 goals and conceded only 10, demonstrating robust performance.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-08-26Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
  • 2026-02-14Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
  • 2025-09-13Real Sociedad1–2Real Madrid
  • 2025-05-24Real Madrid2–0Real Sociedad
  • 2025-04-01Real Madrid4–4Real Sociedad

Form & table

Real Madrid2nd, 30 ptsWWWWW
Real Sociedad5th, 22 ptsWLWWW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 121101 4813 +3533 WWLWW
2 Real Madrid 121002 3110 +2130 WWWWW
3 Atletico Madrid 12912 2310 +1328 LWWWW
4 Real Betis 12822 2015 +526 WWDLW
5 Real Sociedad 12714 2120 +122 WLWWW
6 Sevilla 12534 1719 -218 DLWLD
7 Athletic Club 11443 1511 +416 DWWLD
8 Villarreal 12435 1715 +215 WLWDL
9 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 1514 +115 DWLDL
10 Racing Santander 12426 1730 -1314 WLWLD
11 Celta Vigo 12273 1010 013 DLDWD
12 Alaves 12345 1517 -213 DLDLL
13 Espanyol 12336 1314 -112 DWLLD
14 Rayo Vallecano 11335 1521 -612 LWLDD
15 Getafe 12336 818 -1012 LWLDL
16 Osasuna 12336 1223 -1112 DLLWL
17 Levante 12255 1621 -511 DLLWD
18 Elche 12246 1420 -610 LLWDD
19 Valencia 12237 820 -129 LWLDD
20 Malaga 12057 923 -145 LLDLD
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation