San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo prediction

San Jose Earthquakes
vs
PayPal Park
Houston Dynamo
44%
Model pickNo Pick
San Jose Earthquakes win

The model favours San Jose Earthquakes win at 44%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

San Jose Earthquakes44%
Draw27%
Houston Dynamo29%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.47 – 1.19
Both score54%
Over 2.5 goals50%

Match analysis

The forecast for a San Jose Earthquakes win is supported by their slightly higher league standing, better goal-scoring average, and recent head-to-head dominance against Houston. The model's expected goals of 1.47 for San Jose and 1.19 for Houston also align with San Jose's offensive edge. Houston's recent poor form further complicates their chances.

San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes have displayed inconsistent recent form, mixing wins with several draws and losses, despite a solid overall season record. Their offensive output has been strong, averaging 1.7 goals per match.

Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo's recent form has been challenging, characterized by a high number of draws and losses. However, they boast a stronger defensive record, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match and keeping 13 clean sheets.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-09-13San Jose Earthquakes1–0Houston Dynamo
  • 2026-08-30Houston Dynamo0–0San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2025-08-24Houston Dynamo1–2San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2025-05-25San Jose Earthquakes3–3Houston Dynamo
  • 2024-07-18San Jose Earthquakes0–1Houston Dynamo

Form & table

San Jose Earthquakes4th, 52 ptsLWDLD
Houston Dynamo5th, 51 ptsLLWDD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 341978 7434 +4064 WWWLW
2 FC Dallas 3416108 6251 +1158 WDLWD
3 St. Louis City 3415910 5948 +1154 WLLLL
4 San Jose Earthquakes 34141010 5751 +652 LWDLD
5 Houston Dynamo 3414911 4343 051 LLWDD
6 Los Angeles FC 34121111 5240 +1247 LLDDW
7 Portland Timbers 3413714 6261 +146 WWWWD
8 Seattle Sounders 34121012 4446 -246 WLLDD
9 Real Salt Lake 3413615 5352 +145 WLWWW
10 Minnesota United FC 34111112 5658 -244 WWWDW
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 34111112 5057 -744 LWDDW
12 Colorado Rapids 3412715 4750 -343 LLDWD
13 San Diego 3491114 5763 -638 LWLDD
14 Austin 3481016 4265 -2334 LLLWL
15 Sporting Kansas City 347522 4081 -4126 WDLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation