Sassuolo vs Napoli prediction

Sassuolo
vs
Napoli
52%
Model pickWatch Only
Napoli win

The model favours Napoli win at 52%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Sassuolo24%
Draw24%
Napoli52%
Likely score1-2
Expected goals1.18 – 1.92
Both score60%
Over 2.5 goals60%

Match analysis

The model's forecast of a Napoli win is strongly supported by their superior league standing, better defensive record, and dominant head-to-head history against Sassuolo. Sassuolo's poor recent form and high goals conceded average further reinforce Napoli's advantage, aligning with the higher expected goals for Napoli.

Sassuolo

Sassuolo's season form is poor, with only two wins and six losses in ten matches, including four consecutive losses recently. They have a concerning defensive record, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match and failing to keep any clean sheets.

Napoli

Napoli has a mixed season form with four wins and four losses, but they maintain a better defensive record than Sassuolo, conceding 1.3 goals per match. They have also managed three clean sheets, indicating a more solid backline.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-01-17Napoli1–0Sassuolo
  • 2025-08-23Sassuolo0–2Napoli
  • 2024-02-28Sassuolo1–6Napoli
  • 2023-08-27Napoli2–0Sassuolo
  • 2023-02-17Sassuolo0–2Napoli

Form & table

Napoli10th, 14 ptsLWDLW
Sassuolo17th, 8 ptsLLLLD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 10910 248 +1628 WWWWW
2 Inter 10811 2613 +1325 LWWWW
3 AS Roma 10730 2810 +1824 WWDWD
4 Como 10721 188 +1023 WWWWD
5 AC Milan 10631 2112 +921 WLWWD
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 10523 1310 +317 WLWLD
8 Bologna 11524 1614 +217 WWWWL
9 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
10 Napoli 10424 1713 +414 LWDLW
11 Torino 11425 1517 -214 DLLWW
12 Genoa 10415 1014 -413 WWWLW
13 Atalanta 10325 1620 -411 LDDLW
14 Lecce 11317 1222 -1010 DLLLW
15 Fiorentina 10226 1523 -88 WDLLL
16 Parma 11227 917 -88 LWDLL
17 Sassuolo 10226 1626 -108 LLLLD
18 Monza 10217 1724 -77 LLLWL
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation