Spain vs England prediction

Spain
vs
England
57%
Model pickWatch Only
Spain win

The model favours Spain win at 57%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Spain57%
Draw22%
England20%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.66 – 1.01
Both score52%
Over 2.5 goals50%

Includes the betting market's view from 1 bookmakers (60% / 21% / 20%). How this works

Match analysis

The model's forecast for a Spain win is strongly supported by their perfect league form and top standing. While England boasts a strong attacking and defensive record, Spain's recent head-to-head victory and higher expected goals further reinforce the prediction.

Spain

Spain is in excellent form, having won all four of their league matches, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game. They currently sit at the top of the league standings.

England

England has won three of their four league matches, demonstrating a potent attack with 3.5 goals scored per game and a solid defense conceding only 0.8 goals per game.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-09-26England2–3Spain
  • 2024-07-14Spain2–1England
  • 2018-10-15Spain2–3England
  • 2018-09-08England1–2Spain

Form & table

Spain1st, 12 ptsWWWW
England2nd, 9 ptsWWWL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Spain 4400 125 +712 WWWW
2 England 4301 143 +119 WWWL
3 Croatia 4103 414 -103 LLLW
4 Czechia 4004 210 -80 LLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation