Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest prediction

Sunderland
vs
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
40%
Model pickNo Pick
Nottingham Forest win

The model favours Nottingham Forest win at 40%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Sunderland28%
Draw32%
Nottingham Forest40%
Likely score0-1
Expected goals0.89 – 1.17
Both score42%
Over 2.5 goals34%

Match analysis

The forecast for a Nottingham Forest win is supported by their slightly better league standing and a dominant 5-0 victory in their most recent head-to-head match against Sunderland. Nottingham Forest also has a better average goals conceded and higher expected goals for this match. Sunderland's poor season form and low goal-scoring average further complicate their chances.

Sunderland

Sunderland's season form is poor, with only two wins and six losses in ten matches. They have struggled offensively, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match and failing to score in 40% of their games.

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest's form is inconsistent, with two wins, three draws, and five losses in ten matches. They have a slightly better defensive record than Sunderland, conceding 1.3 goals per match on average.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-04-24Sunderland0–5Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-09-27Nottingham Forest0–1Sunderland
  • 2024-07-19Nottingham Forest1–1Sunderland
  • 2017-12-30Nottingham Forest0–1Sunderland
  • 2017-09-12Sunderland0–1Nottingham Forest

Form & table

Nottingham Forest16th, 9 ptsWLDLL
Sunderland19th, 8 ptsWLDLL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 10901 155 +1027 WWWWW
2 Brighton 10712 267 +1922 WWLWW
3 Manchester City 10703 2113 +821 LLLWW
4 Liverpool 10532 1410 +418 WLWWL
5 Chelsea 10514 1916 +316 LWLWW
6 Everton 10442 1210 +216 WWLLD
7 Bournemouth 10433 1614 +215 WWWWL
8 Brentford 10352 1611 +514 LWDLD
9 Leeds 10352 108 +214 WLDDL
10 Aston Villa 10343 1417 -313 DDWWD
11 Tottenham 10334 1011 -112 LWWWD
12 Newcastle 10334 1316 -312 DLWLL
13 Hull City 10253 1111 011 LDDLD
14 Ipswich 10325 1520 -511 LDDLW
15 Fulham 10244 1012 -210 DDWWL
16 Nottingham Forest 10235 913 -49 WLDLL
17 Coventry 10307 1019 -99 LWLLW
18 Manchester United 10154 1419 -58 DLLDD
19 Sunderland 10226 817 -98 WLDLL
20 Crystal Palace 10217 1024 -147 LLLLW
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation