Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano prediction
Villarreal
Rayo VallecanoThe model favours Villarreal win at 54%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The forecast for a Villarreal win is supported by their superior league standing, better goal difference, and a strong head-to-head record against Rayo Vallecano, particularly at home. Rayo Vallecano's higher average of goals conceded also complicates their chances. The expected goals further indicate Villarreal's offensive advantage.
Villarreal's recent form is mixed, with an equal number of wins and losses over 12 matches. They score an average of 1.4 goals per match but have failed to score in a third of their games.
Rayo Vallecano's form has been inconsistent, with three wins, three draws, and five losses in 11 matches. They concede a high average of 1.9 goals per match, which is a significant weakness.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-05-17Rayo Vallecano2–0Villarreal
- 2025-11-01Villarreal4–0Rayo Vallecano
- 2025-02-22Rayo Vallecano0–1Villarreal
- 2024-12-18Villarreal1–1Rayo Vallecano
- 2024-04-28Villarreal3–0Rayo Vallecano
Form & table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +35 | 33 | |
| 2 | 12 | +21 | 30 | |
| 3 | 12 | +13 | 28 | |
| 4 | 12 | +5 | 26 | |
| 5 | 12 | +1 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | -2 | 18 | |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | 16 | |
| 8 | 12 | +2 | 15 | |
| 9 | 12 | +1 | 15 | |
| 10 | 12 | -13 | 14 | |
| 11 | 12 | 0 | 13 | |
| 12 | 12 | -2 | 13 | |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | -6 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | -10 | 12 | |
| 16 | 12 | -11 | 12 | |
| 17 | 12 | -5 | 11 | |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | 10 | |
| 19 | 12 | -12 | 9 | |
| 20 | 12 | -14 | 5 |