1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig prediction

1. FC Köln
vs
RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
RB Leipzig
52%
Model pickWatch Only
RB Leipzig win

The model favours RB Leipzig win at 52%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

1. FC Köln25%
Draw24%
RB Leipzig52%
Likely score1-2
Expected goals1.23 – 1.93
Both score61%
Over 2.5 goals61%

Match analysis

The model's forecast for an RB Leipzig win is strongly supported by their superior league position, much better season statistics, and dominant head-to-head record against 1. FC Köln. RB Leipzig's high goal-scoring rate and Köln's struggle for wins further reinforce this prediction. Köln's home advantage is present but seems insufficient to overcome Leipzig's dominance based on the data.

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln is currently ranked 15th with 9 points, showing inconsistent form with only two wins, three draws, and four losses in nine matches. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match.

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig sits in 4th place with 18 points, demonstrating strong form with six wins and three losses in nine games. They have a prolific attack, averaging 3.0 goals scored per match, while conceding 1.4 goals.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-02-081. FC Köln1–2RB Leipzig
  • 2025-09-20RB Leipzig3–11. FC Köln
  • 2024-03-151. FC Köln1–5RB Leipzig
  • 2023-10-28RB Leipzig6–01. FC Köln
  • 2023-02-041. FC Köln0–0RB Leipzig

Form & table

RB Leipzig4th, 18 ptsWWWLW
1. FC Köln15th, 9 ptsLDDLW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 9630 299 +2021 WDWWD
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 167 +921 WDWDD
3 SC Freiburg 9612 2010 +1019 WWLLW
4 RB Leipzig 9603 2713 +1418 WWWLW
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 2017 +316 WLLWW
6 Werder Bremen 9432 1715 +215 LWWDD
7 SV Elversberg 9414 1718 -113 LWLWL
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 1515 012 WWLLW
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 1617 -112 WLWWL
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 1520 -512 DWLWL
11 Hamburger SV 9405 1020 -1012 WLLWW
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 1819 -110 LLLWL
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 811 -310 DDWDL
14 FC Augsburg 9234 2020 09 LLDLD
15 1. FC Köln 9234 1014 -49 LDDLW
16 Union Berlin 9144 721 -147 LDDDW
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 511 -66 LLDLL
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 1225 -134 LDWLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation