Alaves vs Espanyol prediction
Alaves
EspanyolThe model favours Alaves win at 44%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The forecast for an Alaves win is supported by their better league standing and a strong recent head-to-head record against Espanyol, including two wins in the previous season. While both teams show inconsistent recent form, Alaves' slightly superior goal-scoring and home advantage align with the predicted outcome. Espanyol's slightly better goals conceded average is a minor complicating factor.
AlavesAlaves' season form has been inconsistent, with an even split of wins, draws, and losses in their 12 matches. They average 1.3 goals scored per match but also concede 1.4.
EspanyolEspanyol has struggled more this season, with more losses than wins or draws in their 11 games played. Their attacking output is slightly lower than Alaves, but their defense is comparable in terms of goals conceded per match.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-01-30Espanyol1–2Alaves
- 2025-11-02Alaves2–1Espanyol
- 2025-02-22Alaves0–1Espanyol
- 2024-09-14Espanyol3–2Alaves
- 2022-05-11Alaves2–1Espanyol
Form & table
Alaves12th, 13 ptsDLDLLEspanyol13th, 12 ptsDWLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona |
11 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid |
11 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis |
12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad |
12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla |
12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club |
11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal |
12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna |
12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander |
12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo |
12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves |
12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol |
12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano |
11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe |
12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna |
12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante |
12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche |
12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia |
12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga |
12 | -14 | 5 |