Charlotte vs Chicago Fire prediction

Charlotte
vs
Bank of America Stadium
Chicago Fire
53%
Model pickWatch Only
Charlotte win

The model favours Charlotte win at 53%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Charlotte53%
Draw22%
Chicago Fire25%
Likely score2-1
Expected goals2.09 – 1.46
Both score68%
Over 2.5 goals69%

Match analysis

The forecast for a Charlotte win is supported by their slightly better goals conceded average and home advantage, despite Chicago Fire's higher league position and strong recent head-to-head record. The expected goals also indicate Charlotte scoring significantly more than Chicago. Chicago Fire has also failed to score in fewer matches this season.

Charlotte

Charlotte has a positive season record with 15 wins and 10 losses, scoring an average of 1.9 goals per match while conceding 1.5. Their recent form has been inconsistent, showing a mix of results.

Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire enters this match with a slightly better season record of 16 wins and 11 losses, scoring 1.9 goals per match and conceding 1.6. Their recent performances have also been varied.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-09-26Charlotte0–1Chicago Fire
  • 2026-08-02Chicago Fire2–1Charlotte
  • 2025-06-29Chicago Fire3–2Charlotte
  • 2025-05-17Charlotte1–4Chicago Fire
  • 2024-10-02Charlotte4–3Chicago Fire

Form & table

Chicago Fire4th, 55 ptsLWDWL
Charlotte5th, 54 ptsDWWLD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Nashville SC 342383 7125 +4677 WWDWD
2 Inter Miami 3416126 8059 +2160 DWDLW
3 New England Revolution 3418412 5547 +858 LLWWW
4 Chicago Fire 3416711 6454 +1055 LWDWL
5 Charlotte 3415910 6651 +1554 DWWLD
6 Philadelphia Union 3414812 6652 +1450 WLDLD
7 Columbus Crew 3414515 5952 +747 WWWWW
8 Orlando City SC 3413714 6378 -1546 WLDDW
9 FC Cincinnati 34121012 6775 -846 LWDWW
10 New York Red Bulls 3412616 4862 -1442 WLLWL
11 New York City FC 34101212 4945 +442 WDWDD
12 Toronto FC 3491213 5267 -1539 LLWLW
13 Atlanta United FC 349619 4360 -1733 LWLLL
14 DC United 3471215 3961 -2233 LLLLL
15 CF Montreal 346820 3769 -3226 LDLLD
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation