Hamburger SV vs FC Schalke 04 prediction

Hamburger SV
vs
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
FC Schalke 04
49%
Model pickNo Pick
Hamburger SV win

The model favours Hamburger SV win at 49%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Hamburger SV49%
Draw28%
FC Schalke 0423%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.48 – 0.98
Both score49%
Over 2.5 goals45%

Match analysis

The model's forecast for a Hamburger SV win is supported by their better league standing, higher goals scored average, and FC Schalke 04's poor recent form and low goal-scoring record. However, the head-to-head record shows several recent draws between these teams, which could complicate a clear home victory. The expected goals also favor Hamburger SV with a significant margin.

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV's recent form is mixed, showing periods of both wins and losses (LLLWWWLLW). They have won 4 of their 9 matches but have a high goals conceded average.

FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 is in poor form, with only one win in their last nine matches (LDWDLLDLL). They have struggled significantly to score goals, failing to do so in 6 of their 9 games.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2025-04-19FC Schalke 042–2Hamburger SV
  • 2024-11-23Hamburger SV2–2FC Schalke 04
  • 2024-01-20FC Schalke 040–2Hamburger SV
  • 2023-07-28Hamburger SV5–3FC Schalke 04
  • 2021-12-18Hamburger SV1–1FC Schalke 04

Form & table

Hamburger SV11th, 12 ptsWLLWW
FC Schalke 0417th, 6 ptsLLDLL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 9630 299 +2021 WDWWD
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 167 +921 WDWDD
3 SC Freiburg 9612 2010 +1019 WWLLW
4 RB Leipzig 9603 2713 +1418 WWWLW
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 2017 +316 WLLWW
6 Werder Bremen 9432 1715 +215 LWWDD
7 SV Elversberg 9414 1718 -113 LWLWL
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 1515 012 WWLLW
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 1617 -112 WLWWL
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 1520 -512 DWLWL
11 Hamburger SV 9405 1020 -1012 WLLWW
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 1819 -110 LLLWL
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 811 -310 DDWDL
14 FC Augsburg 9234 2020 09 LLDLD
15 1. FC Köln 9234 1014 -49 LDDLW
16 Union Berlin 9144 721 -147 LDDDW
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 511 -66 LLDLL
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 1225 -134 LDWLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation