Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction

Houston Dynamo
vs
Shell Energy Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes
46%
Model pickNo Pick
Houston Dynamo win

The model favours Houston Dynamo win at 46%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Houston Dynamo46%
Draw27%
San Jose Earthquakes27%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.52 – 1.15
Both score54%
Over 2.5 goals50%

Match analysis

The model's forecast of a Houston Dynamo win is supported by their higher expected goals (1.52 vs 1.15) and a stronger clean sheet record. However, San Jose Earthquakes' slightly higher league standing, superior season goal-scoring average, and recent head-to-head dominance against Houston complicate this prediction.

Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo's recent form is inconsistent, featuring both strong winning streaks and periods of multiple losses or draws. They have a balanced record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses this season.

San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes' form has been similarly mixed, marked by impressive winning streaks interspersed with extended periods of losses and draws. Their season record stands at 14 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-09-13San Jose Earthquakes1–0Houston Dynamo
  • 2026-08-30Houston Dynamo0–0San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2025-08-24Houston Dynamo1–2San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2025-05-25San Jose Earthquakes3–3Houston Dynamo
  • 2024-07-18San Jose Earthquakes0–1Houston Dynamo

Form & table

San Jose Earthquakes4th, 52 ptsLWDLD
Houston Dynamo5th, 51 ptsLLWDD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 341978 7434 +4064 WWWLW
2 FC Dallas 3416108 6251 +1158 WDLWD
3 St. Louis City 3415910 5948 +1154 WLLLL
4 San Jose Earthquakes 34141010 5751 +652 LWDLD
5 Houston Dynamo 3414911 4343 051 LLWDD
6 Los Angeles FC 34121111 5240 +1247 LLDDW
7 Portland Timbers 3413714 6261 +146 WWWWD
8 Seattle Sounders 34121012 4446 -246 WLLDD
9 Real Salt Lake 3413615 5352 +145 WLWWW
10 Minnesota United FC 34111112 5658 -244 WWWDW
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 34111112 5057 -744 LWDDW
12 Colorado Rapids 3412715 4750 -343 LLDWD
13 San Diego 3491114 5763 -638 LWLDD
14 Austin 3481016 4265 -2334 LLLWL
15 Sporting Kansas City 347522 4081 -4126 WDLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation