Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction
Houston Dynamo
San Jose EarthquakesThe model favours Houston Dynamo win at 46%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model's forecast of a Houston Dynamo win is supported by their higher expected goals (1.52 vs 1.15) and a stronger clean sheet record. However, San Jose Earthquakes' slightly higher league standing, superior season goal-scoring average, and recent head-to-head dominance against Houston complicate this prediction.
Houston Dynamo's recent form is inconsistent, featuring both strong winning streaks and periods of multiple losses or draws. They have a balanced record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses this season.
San Jose Earthquakes' form has been similarly mixed, marked by impressive winning streaks interspersed with extended periods of losses and draws. Their season record stands at 14 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-09-13San Jose Earthquakes1–0Houston Dynamo
- 2026-08-30Houston Dynamo0–0San Jose Earthquakes
- 2025-08-24Houston Dynamo1–2San Jose Earthquakes
- 2025-05-25San Jose Earthquakes3–3Houston Dynamo
- 2024-07-18San Jose Earthquakes0–1Houston Dynamo
Form & table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | +40 | 64 | |
| 2 | 34 | +11 | 58 | |
| 3 | 34 | +11 | 54 | |
| 4 | 34 | +6 | 52 | |
| 5 | 34 | 0 | 51 | |
| 6 | 34 | +12 | 47 | |
| 7 | 34 | +1 | 46 | |
| 8 | 34 | -2 | 46 | |
| 9 | 34 | +1 | 45 | |
| 10 | 34 | -2 | 44 | |
| 11 | 34 | -7 | 44 | |
| 12 | 34 | -3 | 43 | |
| 13 | 34 | -6 | 38 | |
| 14 | 34 | -23 | 34 | |
| 15 | 34 | -41 | 26 |