Lecce vs Atalanta prediction
Lecce
AtalantaThe model favours Atalanta win at 56%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model's forecast for an Atalanta win is strongly supported by their dominant head-to-head record against Lecce, which includes several significant away victories. Atalanta also shows a slightly better goal-scoring average and a higher points tally in the league standings, while Lecce's high average of 2.1 goals conceded per match further complicates their prospects.
Lecce's recent form is poor, with seven losses in their last ten matches and a concerning average of 2.1 goals conceded per game. They have also failed to score in 40% of their games this season.
Atalanta's season form is mixed, featuring three wins and two draws from ten matches, indicating some inconsistency. However, they average 1.6 goals scored per match, which is higher than Lecce's offensive output.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-04-06Lecce0–3Atalanta
- 2025-09-14Atalanta4–1Lecce
- 2025-04-27Atalanta1–1Lecce
- 2024-08-19Lecce0–4Atalanta
- 2024-05-18Lecce0–2Atalanta
Form & table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +16 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | +13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | +18 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | +10 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | +9 | 21 | |
| 6 | 11 | +9 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | 17 | |
| 8 | 11 | -5 | 16 | |
| 9 | 10 | +4 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | +1 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | -2 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | -4 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | -4 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | -10 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | -7 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | -8 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | -10 | 8 | |
| 18 | 10 | -7 | 7 | |
| 19 | 11 | -13 | 6 | |
| 20 | 11 | -13 | 5 |