Lecce vs Atalanta prediction

Lecce
vs
Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Atalanta
56%
Model pickWatch Only
Atalanta win

The model favours Atalanta win at 56%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Lecce18%
Draw26%
Atalanta56%
Likely score0-1
Expected goals0.79 – 1.67
Both score45%
Over 2.5 goals45%

Match analysis

The model's forecast for an Atalanta win is strongly supported by their dominant head-to-head record against Lecce, which includes several significant away victories. Atalanta also shows a slightly better goal-scoring average and a higher points tally in the league standings, while Lecce's high average of 2.1 goals conceded per match further complicates their prospects.

Lecce

Lecce's recent form is poor, with seven losses in their last ten matches and a concerning average of 2.1 goals conceded per game. They have also failed to score in 40% of their games this season.

Atalanta

Atalanta's season form is mixed, featuring three wins and two draws from ten matches, indicating some inconsistency. However, they average 1.6 goals scored per match, which is higher than Lecce's offensive output.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-04-06Lecce0–3Atalanta
  • 2025-09-14Atalanta4–1Lecce
  • 2025-04-27Atalanta1–1Lecce
  • 2024-08-19Lecce0–4Atalanta
  • 2024-05-18Lecce0–2Atalanta

Form & table

Atalanta13th, 11 ptsLDDLW
Lecce14th, 9 ptsLLLWL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 10910 248 +1628 WWWWW
2 Inter 10811 2613 +1325 LWWWW
3 AS Roma 10730 2810 +1824 WWDWD
4 Como 10721 188 +1023 WWWWD
5 AC Milan 10631 2112 +921 WLWWD
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 10523 1310 +317 WLWLD
8 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
9 Napoli 10424 1713 +414 LWDLW
10 Bologna 10424 1413 +114 WWWLW
11 Torino 10415 1416 -213 LLWWW
12 Genoa 10415 1014 -413 WWWLW
13 Atalanta 10325 1620 -411 LDDLW
14 Lecce 10307 1121 -109 LLLWL
15 Parma 10226 815 -78 WDLLL
16 Fiorentina 10226 1523 -88 WDLLL
17 Sassuolo 10226 1626 -108 LLLLD
18 Monza 10217 1724 -77 LLLWL
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation