Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City prediction
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis CityThe model favours Los Angeles FC win at 54%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The forecast for a Los Angeles FC win is supported by their strong head-to-head record at BMO Stadium against St. Louis City, including three wins and one draw in their last four home encounters. While St. Louis City is higher in the league standings, Los Angeles FC's slightly better goals conceded average and the authoritative model's expected goals of 1.85 for LAFC against 1.16 for St. Louis City align with the prediction.
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC's season form is balanced with 12 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses from 34 matches, showing an average of 1.5 goals scored per game. Their recent form string indicates periods of strong performance mixed with inconsistent results.
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City has a slightly better overall season record with 15 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored per match. Their recent form displays a fluctuating pattern, including both winning streaks and periods of losses.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-05-14St. Louis City2–1Los Angeles FC
- 2026-03-15Los Angeles FC2–0St. Louis City
- 2025-09-28St. Louis City0–3Los Angeles FC
- 2025-04-27Los Angeles FC2–2St. Louis City
- 2024-10-03Los Angeles FC1–0St. Louis City
Form & table
St. Louis City3rd, 54 ptsWLLLLLos Angeles FC6th, 47 ptsLLDDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps |
34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas |
34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City |
34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes |
34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo |
34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC |
34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers |
34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders |
34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake |
34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC |
34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Galaxy |
34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |  Colorado Rapids |
34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |  San Diego |
34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Austin |
34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City |
34 | -41 | 26 |