Monza vs Fiorentina prediction
Monza
FiorentinaThe model favours Fiorentina win at 47%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model's forecast for a Fiorentina win is supported by their slightly higher league standing and superior expected goals. However, Monza's better season average for goals scored and their strong head-to-head record, including two home wins against Fiorentina in recent encounters, present significant complicating factors.
MonzaMonza is in poor form, having secured only two wins and one draw in their last ten matches. They have a high goal concession rate of 2.4 per game, but have consistently found the net.
FiorentinaFiorentina's recent form is also poor, with two wins and two draws from their last ten games. They have struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet this season and conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2025-01-13Monza2–1Fiorentina
- 2024-09-01Fiorentina2–2Monza
- 2024-05-13Fiorentina2–1Monza
- 2023-12-22Monza0–1Fiorentina
- 2023-04-23Monza3–2Fiorentina
Form & table
Fiorentina15th, 8 ptsWDLLLMonza18th, 7 ptsLLLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio |
10 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |  AS Roma |
11 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |  Inter |
10 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |  Como |
10 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
10 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone |
11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus |
10 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Bologna |
11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari |
11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli |
10 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Torino |
11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Genoa |
10 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta |
10 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce |
11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
10 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Parma |
11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo |
11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza |
10 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia |
11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese |
11 | -13 | 5 |