Napoli vs Lecce prediction

Napoli
vs
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Lecce
66%
Model pickRecommended Pick
Napoli win

The model favours Napoli win at 66%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.

Win probabilities

Napoli66%
Draw23%
Lecce12%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.88 – 0.68
Both score42%
Over 2.5 goals47%

Match analysis

The forecast for a Napoli win is strongly supported by their superior league position, better goal-scoring and defensive records, and a dominant head-to-head history against Lecce. Napoli's home advantage and Lecce's poor away form, marked by many losses and high goals conceded, further reinforce this prediction.

Napoli

Napoli's season form is mixed with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses from 10 matches, scoring 1.7 goals per game on average. They have kept 3 clean sheets but also failed to score in 2 games.

Lecce

Lecce's season form is poor, with 3 wins and 7 losses from 10 matches, notably without any draws. They concede an average of 2.1 goals per match and have failed to score in 4 games.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-03-14Napoli2–1Lecce
  • 2025-10-28Lecce0–1Napoli
  • 2025-05-03Lecce0–1Napoli
  • 2024-10-26Napoli1–0Lecce
  • 2024-05-26Napoli0–0Lecce

Form & table

Napoli9th, 14 ptsLWDLW
Lecce14th, 10 ptsDLLLW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 10910 248 +1628 WWWWW
2 Inter 10811 2613 +1325 LWWWW
3 AS Roma 10730 2810 +1824 WWDWD
4 Como 10721 188 +1023 WWWWD
5 AC Milan 10631 2112 +921 WLWWD
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 10523 1310 +317 WLWLD
8 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
9 Napoli 10424 1713 +414 LWDLW
10 Bologna 10424 1413 +114 WWWLW
11 Torino 11425 1517 -214 DLLWW
12 Genoa 10415 1014 -413 WWWLW
13 Atalanta 10325 1620 -411 LDDLW
14 Lecce 11317 1222 -1010 DLLLW
15 Parma 10226 815 -78 WDLLL
16 Fiorentina 10226 1523 -88 WDLLL
17 Sassuolo 10226 1626 -108 LLLLD
18 Monza 10217 1724 -77 LLLWL
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation