Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution prediction

Philadelphia Union
vs
Subaru Park
New England Revolution
58%
Model pickWatch Only
Philadelphia Union win

The model favours Philadelphia Union win at 58%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Philadelphia Union58%
Draw23%
New England Revolution20%
Likely score2-1
Expected goals1.99 – 1.13
Both score59%
Over 2.5 goals60%

Match analysis

The model forecasts a home win for Philadelphia Union, supported by their higher average goals scored per match and strong historical home performances against New England Revolution. However, this is complicated by New England Revolution's superior league standing and overall season record, along with their wins in the two most recent head-to-head matches.

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union's form has been highly inconsistent this season, marked by significant losing streaks followed by strong winning runs.

New England Revolution

New England Revolution's form has been generally strong with multiple winning streaks, though also featuring periods of losses.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-10-24Philadelphia Union1–2New England Revolution
  • 2026-05-09New England Revolution2–1Philadelphia Union
  • 2025-09-20Philadelphia Union1–0New England Revolution
  • 2025-03-09New England Revolution0–2Philadelphia Union
  • 2024-07-17Philadelphia Union5–1New England Revolution

Form & table

New England Revolution3rd, 58 ptsLLWWW
Philadelphia Union6th, 50 ptsWLDLD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Nashville SC 342383 7125 +4677 WWDWD
2 Inter Miami 3416126 8059 +2160 DWDLW
3 New England Revolution 3418412 5547 +858 LLWWW
4 Chicago Fire 3416711 6454 +1055 LWDWL
5 Charlotte 3415910 6651 +1554 DWWLD
6 Philadelphia Union 3414812 6652 +1450 WLDLD
7 Columbus Crew 3414515 5952 +747 WWWWW
8 Orlando City SC 3413714 6378 -1546 WLDDW
9 FC Cincinnati 34121012 6775 -846 LWDWW
10 New York Red Bulls 3412616 4862 -1442 WLLWL
11 New York City FC 34101212 4945 +442 WDWDD
12 Toronto FC 3491213 5267 -1539 LLWLW
13 Atlanta United FC 349619 4360 -1733 LWLLL
14 DC United 3471215 3961 -2233 LLLLL
15 CF Montreal 346820 3769 -3226 LDLLD
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation