Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas prediction

Portland Timbers
vs
Providence Park
FC Dallas
44%
Model pickNo Pick
Portland Timbers win

The model favours Portland Timbers win at 44%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Portland Timbers44%
Draw24%
FC Dallas33%
Likely score2-1
Expected goals1.83 – 1.61
Both score68%
Over 2.5 goals67%

Match analysis

The model forecasts a Portland Timbers win, supported by their higher expected goals at home. However, this is complicated by FC Dallas's significantly better league standing and overall season record. The head-to-head record also shows FC Dallas with a slight advantage in recent encounters.

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers' season form is inconsistent, with a losing record overall, though they ended the season with a strong run of four consecutive wins. They average 1.8 goals scored and conceded per match.

FC Dallas

FC Dallas has a strong season record with more wins than losses and a better defensive record, conceding fewer goals on average. Their recent form shows a mix of wins and draws, indicating consistency.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-09-13FC Dallas2–1Portland Timbers
  • 2026-07-23Portland Timbers2–2FC Dallas
  • 2025-09-28Portland Timbers2–2FC Dallas
  • 2025-08-10FC Dallas2–0Portland Timbers
  • 2024-10-06Portland Timbers0–0FC Dallas

Form & table

FC Dallas2nd, 58 ptsWDLWD
Portland Timbers7th, 46 ptsWWWWD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 341978 7434 +4064 WWWLW
2 FC Dallas 3416108 6251 +1158 WDLWD
3 St. Louis City 3415910 5948 +1154 WLLLL
4 San Jose Earthquakes 34141010 5751 +652 LWDLD
5 Houston Dynamo 3414911 4343 051 LLWDD
6 Los Angeles FC 34121111 5240 +1247 LLDDW
7 Portland Timbers 3413714 6261 +146 WWWWD
8 Seattle Sounders 34121012 4446 -246 WLLDD
9 Real Salt Lake 3413615 5352 +145 WLWWW
10 Minnesota United FC 34111112 5658 -244 WWWDW
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 34111112 5057 -744 LWDDW
12 Colorado Rapids 3412715 4750 -343 LLDWD
13 San Diego 3491114 5763 -638 LWLDD
14 Austin 3481016 4265 -2334 LLLWL
15 Sporting Kansas City 347522 4081 -4126 WDLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation