SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig prediction

SC Freiburg
vs
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg
RB Leipzig
41%
Model pickNo Pick
SC Freiburg win

The model favours SC Freiburg win at 41%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

SC Freiburg41%
Draw25%
RB Leipzig35%
Likely score2-1
Expected goals1.68 – 1.59
Both score65%
Over 2.5 goals63%

Match analysis

The forecast for a SC Freiburg win is supported by their higher league standing and slightly better recent form, including a strong goal-scoring record. However, RB Leipzig has a higher overall goal tally and a better clean sheet record this season, complicating the prediction for a clear Freiburg victory. The expected goals also suggest a very closely contested match.

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg has shown strong form with five wins, one draw, and two losses in eight matches, consistently scoring with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig has a solid record of five wins and three losses in eight matches, demonstrating a potent attack with 2.8 goals per game and five clean sheets.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-05-16SC Freiburg4–1RB Leipzig
  • 2026-01-14RB Leipzig2–0SC Freiburg
  • 2025-03-08SC Freiburg0–0RB Leipzig
  • 2024-10-26RB Leipzig3–1SC Freiburg
  • 2024-04-06SC Freiburg1–4RB Leipzig

Form & table

RB Leipzig3rd, 18 ptsWWWLW
SC Freiburg4th, 16 ptsWLLWD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 9630 299 +2021 WDWWD
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 167 +921 WDWDD
3 RB Leipzig 9603 2713 +1418 WWWLW
4 SC Freiburg 8512 1810 +816 WLLWD
5 Werder Bremen 9432 1715 +215 LWWDD
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8413 1816 +213 LLWWW
7 SV Elversberg 9414 1718 -113 LWLWL
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 1515 012 WWLLW
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 1520 -512 DWLWL
10 Hamburger SV 9405 1020 -1012 WLLWW
11 FSV Mainz 05 9315 1819 -110 LLLWL
12 SC Paderborn 07 9243 811 -310 DDWDL
13 FC Augsburg 9234 2020 09 LLDLD
14 1899 Hoffenheim 8305 1416 -29 LWWLL
15 1. FC Köln 8233 912 -39 DDLWL
16 Union Berlin 8143 719 -127 DDDWL
17 FC Schalke 04 8134 49 -56 LDLLD
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 1225 -134 LDWLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation