St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC prediction
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FCThe model favours St. Louis City win at 38%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The forecast for a St. Louis City win is supported by their higher league standing and better overall win record this season. However, Los Angeles FC's stronger defensive record and the very close expected goals values suggest this will be a tightly contested match. The head-to-head record also shows LAFC has had the upper hand in recent history, despite St. Louis City winning their last home encounter.
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City's season form is characterized by periods of strong winning streaks interspersed with stretches of draws and losses, including a recent dip in form. They have a positive goal difference, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per match.
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC's season form has been inconsistent, featuring both strong winning runs and periods of struggle with losses and draws. They boast a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, but their scoring average is slightly lower than their opponent's.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-05-14St. Louis City2–1Los Angeles FC
- 2026-03-15Los Angeles FC2–0St. Louis City
- 2025-09-28St. Louis City0–3Los Angeles FC
- 2025-04-27Los Angeles FC2–2St. Louis City
- 2024-10-03Los Angeles FC1–0St. Louis City
Form & table
St. Louis City3rd, 54 ptsWLLLLLos Angeles FC6th, 47 ptsLLDDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps |
34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas |
34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City |
34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes |
34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo |
34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC |
34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers |
34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders |
34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake |
34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC |
34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Galaxy |
34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |  Colorado Rapids |
34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |  San Diego |
34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Austin |
34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City |
34 | -41 | 26 |