VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin prediction

VfB Stuttgart
vs
MHPArena, Stuttgart
Union Berlin
70%
Model pickRecommended Pick
VfB Stuttgart win

The model favours VfB Stuttgart win at 70%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.

Win probabilities

VfB Stuttgart70%
Draw19%
Union Berlin11%
Likely score2-0
Expected goals2.3 – 0.85
Both score52%
Over 2.5 goals61%

Match analysis

The model's forecast of a VfB Stuttgart win is strongly supported by their superior league standing, significantly better goal-scoring record, and Union Berlin's high goals conceded. Union Berlin's poor season form and low goals scored further complicate their chances against a Stuttgart side that has won two of their last three home head-to-head encounters. While Stuttgart's recent form is mixed, Union's struggles are more pronounced, aligning with the predicted outcome.

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart's season form is inconsistent with 4 wins and 5 losses in 9 games, but they maintain a positive goal-scoring average of 1.7 per match. Their recent form shows a pattern of alternating wins and losses.

Union Berlin

Union Berlin is in very poor form, having won only 1 of their 9 matches this season, with 4 draws and 4 losses. They struggle to score, averaging just 0.8 goals per match, and concede heavily with an average of 2.3 goals per match.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-01-18VfB Stuttgart1–1Union Berlin
  • 2025-08-23Union Berlin2–1VfB Stuttgart
  • 2025-04-19Union Berlin4–4VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-12-06VfB Stuttgart3–2Union Berlin
  • 2024-03-08VfB Stuttgart2–0Union Berlin

Form & table

VfB Stuttgart8th, 12 ptsWWLLW
Union Berlin16th, 7 ptsLDDDW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 9630 299 +2021 WDWWD
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 167 +921 WDWDD
3 SC Freiburg 9612 2010 +1019 WWLLW
4 RB Leipzig 9603 2713 +1418 WWWLW
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 2017 +316 WLLWW
6 Werder Bremen 9432 1715 +215 LWWDD
7 SV Elversberg 9414 1718 -113 LWLWL
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 1515 012 WWLLW
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 1617 -112 WLWWL
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 1520 -512 DWLWL
11 Hamburger SV 9405 1020 -1012 WLLWW
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 1819 -110 LLLWL
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 811 -310 DDWDL
14 FC Augsburg 9234 2020 09 LLDLD
15 1. FC Köln 9234 1014 -49 LDDLW
16 Union Berlin 9144 721 -147 LDDDW
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 511 -66 LLDLL
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 1225 -134 LDWLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation