Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Werder Bremen
vs
Weserstadion, Bremen
Bayer Leverkusen
49%
Model pickNo Pick
Bayer Leverkusen win

The model favours Bayer Leverkusen win at 49%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Werder Bremen26%
Draw25%
Bayer Leverkusen49%
Likely score1-2
Expected goals1.22 – 1.81
Both score60%
Over 2.5 goals58%

Match analysis

The model forecasts a Bayer Leverkusen win, which is supported by their slightly better league standing, more wins, and higher average goals scored this season. Their expected goals of 1.81 also indicate an offensive advantage over Werder Bremen's 1.22. However, Werder Bremen's form includes recent wins and draws, and the head-to-head record shows they have taken points from Leverkusen in past encounters.

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen has a mixed form of LWDWDDWWL, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses from 9 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored per match.

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen's form is LWDWWWLLW, showing 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in 9 matches. They have a strong attack, averaging 2.2 goals per match.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-01-24Bayer Leverkusen1–0Werder Bremen
  • 2025-08-30Werder Bremen3–3Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2025-03-08Bayer Leverkusen0–2Werder Bremen
  • 2024-10-26Werder Bremen2–2Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2024-04-14Bayer Leverkusen5–0Werder Bremen

Form & table

Bayer Leverkusen5th, 16 ptsWLLWW
Werder Bremen6th, 15 ptsLWWDD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 9630 299 +2021 WDWWD
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 167 +921 WDWDD
3 SC Freiburg 9612 2010 +1019 WWLLW
4 RB Leipzig 9603 2713 +1418 WWWLW
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 2017 +316 WLLWW
6 Werder Bremen 9432 1715 +215 LWWDD
7 SV Elversberg 9414 1718 -113 LWLWL
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 1515 012 WWLLW
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 1617 -112 WLWWL
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 1520 -512 DWLWL
11 Hamburger SV 9405 1020 -1012 WLLWW
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 1819 -110 LLLWL
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 811 -310 DDWDL
14 FC Augsburg 9234 2020 09 LLDLD
15 1. FC Köln 9234 1014 -49 LDDLW
16 Union Berlin 9144 721 -147 LDDDW
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 511 -66 LLDLL
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 1225 -134 LDWLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation