Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV prediction

Werder Bremen
vs
Weserstadion, Bremen
Hamburger SV
50%
Model pickWatch Only
Werder Bremen win

The model favours Werder Bremen win at 50%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Werder Bremen50%
Draw25%
Hamburger SV25%
Likely score2-1
Expected goals1.78 – 1.24
Both score60%
Over 2.5 goals58%

Match analysis

The model forecast for a Werder Bremen win is strongly supported by their superior league position, better recent form, and significantly higher goals scored per match compared to Hamburger SV. Hamburger SV's high goals conceded average and struggles to score in four matches further complicate their chances. The head-to-head record also shows Werder Bremen winning the most recent encounter.

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen enters this match in strong form, having lost only one of their eight games and consistently scoring an average of 2.1 goals per match. They have not failed to score in any match this season.

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV's form is inconsistent, marked by five losses in nine matches and a struggle to score, failing to find the net in four games. They also concede an average of 2.2 goals per match.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-04-18Werder Bremen3–1Hamburger SV
  • 2025-12-07Hamburger SV3–2Werder Bremen
  • 2022-02-27Hamburger SV2–3Werder Bremen
  • 2021-09-18Werder Bremen0–2Hamburger SV
  • 2018-02-24Werder Bremen1–0Hamburger SV

Form & table

Werder Bremen6th, 15 ptsLWWDD
Hamburger SV10th, 12 ptsWLLWW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 9630 299 +2021 WDWWD
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 167 +921 WDWDD
3 RB Leipzig 9603 2713 +1418 WWWLW
4 SC Freiburg 8512 1810 +816 WLLWD
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 2017 +316 WLLWW
6 Werder Bremen 9432 1715 +215 LWWDD
7 SV Elversberg 9414 1718 -113 LWLWL
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 1515 012 WWLLW
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 1520 -512 DWLWL
10 Hamburger SV 9405 1020 -1012 WLLWW
11 FSV Mainz 05 9315 1819 -110 LLLWL
12 SC Paderborn 07 9243 811 -310 DDWDL
13 FC Augsburg 9234 2020 09 LLDLD
14 1899 Hoffenheim 8305 1416 -29 LWWLL
15 1. FC Köln 9234 1014 -49 LDDLW
16 Union Berlin 8143 719 -127 DDDWL
17 FC Schalke 04 8134 49 -56 LDLLD
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 1225 -134 LDWLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation